This is a 10* CONF USA GOM on UTEP.

Sam Houston State is 4-1 after a 40-39 win over Texas State last weekend. I think the Bearcats will be out of gas here though, as note that they were down 22-0 after the first quarter.

UTEP is a terrible team at 0-4 SU. The one game it was a favorite vs. Southern Utah (-6.5), it lost 27-24 in OT. Besides that though, it's played three pretty good teams on the road Nebraska in Week 1, a Liberty and Colorado State last week, falling 27-17 as a nine-point dog.

As primarily a "situational" capper though, these are the types of games that I always keep my eyes open for, as this one sets up well for the home side to earn a comfortable cover. As not only is this a prime "letdown" spot after the 4-0 start, but with its bye-week next week, it's also a "look-ahead" position for Sam Houston State.

When you add those two factors together you get "trap game."

No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is UTEP.

Good luck, NP