This is a 10* CONF-USA GOW on UTEP.

I'm of course not suggest whatsoever that UTEP is going to win this one outright, but I do absolutely believe that this spread is way too large, as I'm expecting WKU to take the foot of the gas as it gets ready to travel to 5-1 Sam Houston State the following weekend.

After three straight victories the Hilltoppers came up short two weeks ago in their 21-20 road loss at BC.

It's a classic "letdown/look-ahead" spot in my estimation and when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game."

I think this is a trap game for sure for the home side. UTEP is terrible, 0-5, but it's actually played some really decent competition, including a Nebraska, at Liberty, at Colorado State and at home to Sam Houston State last weekend. They've scored a combined 38 points over their last two games which is decent considering their competition.

As primarily a "situational" capper, these are the types of games that I always have my eyes open for.

Grab the points, the play is UTEP.

Good luck, NP