This is a 10* NON-CONF TOM on the UNDER Dolphins/Packers.

I'm expecting a defensive battle in the night-cap on Thursday night.

Just a great situational play here. Green Bay is 8-3 and off back-to-back victories. Note that the Packers though have interestingly seen the total dive below the posted number in four of their last five when playing on six or less days rest.

When these teams played last in 2022, the Packers managed the 26-22 win in Miami and I predict Thursday's contest will be even tighter.

The Dolphins are 5-6. Tua's returned and they've won three in a row, and also covered in four straight. Five of their last six have flown OVER the number, but it's also interesting to note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five after three or more straight victories in a row.

I'm expecting the short week, the later start, combined with all of the other above-listed factors/trends to lead to a lower-scoring UNDER once the final whistle sounds.

Good luck, NP