This is a 10* AFC EAST TOM on the UNDER Pats/Bills.

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I believe everything finally points to more of a defensive affair here on Sunday afternoon in Buffalo.

New England is just 3-11, and it'll just be trying its best to be competitive here. The Pats have seen the total go OVER in five straight after last week's 30-17 loss at Arizona, but note that looking back NE has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row.

Buffalo is 11-3, bouncing back from a 44-42 loss at LA to beat the Lions 48-42 in Detroit. Note though that the Bills have seen the total go UNDER in five of their last seven off a SU/ATS divisional road win as an underdog.

Buffalo isn't going to have to run up this score to win this game. Look for the Bills to control the tempo and the pace of this one as they now carefully prepare for a deep playoff run.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP