10* (EARLY) DIV. TOTAL OF YEAR: 19-4 NHL RUN!
(NHL) Wild (MIN) vs. Avalanche (COL),
Total: 6.00 | -115.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* CENTRAL DIVISION TOY on the UNDER Wild/Avs.

I base my picks on many different things. This particular one is based on what I perceive to be a great "situation"

Minnesota is 27-15, but it'll be desperate here to snap a three-game slide, most recently a 6-2 loss at Division rival Nashville on Friday night. Note though that the Wild have seen the total go UNDER in four of their last five after three or more straight losses in a row.

Minnesota plays with revenge here as well after a humbling 6-1 loss at home to the Avs in early January, but note that the Wild have in fact seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a divisional home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent.

Colorado is 28-18 and it's been trading wins/losses over its last nine games. After a 6-3 victory over Dallas last time out, it'll be looking to snap this pattern here. The Avs have seen the total go OVER in three straight, but note that Colorado has in fact seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. With Winnipeg coming to town next, followed by a tough Eastern road trip, look for Colorado to buckle down defensively here at home vs. its division rival.

No matter which way you look at it, everything points to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in my opinion.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP