10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF MONTH (18-8 NFL PLAYOFFS!)
(NFL) Chiefs (KC) vs. Eagles (PHI),
Total: 49.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOM on the UNDER Chiefs/Eagles.

If you're betting on the BIG GAME and if you've bought this pick, and or a long-term client, then I don't have to tell you the strengths and weaknesses of these teams, or the cast of characters for each side. You know these teams and the storylines (and if you don't just google it and you'll quickly get caught up to date on who these people are, and how they got to this ultimate game.)

To be honest, there is no real value in betting on the Super Bowl. This is the biggest game of the year, under a complete microscope on every angle, as the oddsmakers prepare to fleece their biggest audience of all time.

Either way, there are a few reasons I like the UNDER here.

Reason 1: Over 75% of the early money is expecting another high-scoring game, so playing the "under" immediately appeals to my contrarian side.

Reason 2: I've had great success in the past in betting the UNDER in the Super Bowl, after both Conference Championship games went OVER the number. And that was definitely the case this year. And that's a big reason why the public has been quick to back another high-scoring affair. And the bookmakers KNOW this. Las Vegas has raised the O/U line a bit higher than it normally would/should be in my opinion

Reason 3: These are two underrated defenses in my opinion. Those units struggled in their respective Conference Championship games admittedly, but they are one of the biggest reasons that each team is where it is right now.

Reason 4: Philadelphia will be committed to establishing the run with Saquan Barkely in the backfield. This strategy will hopefully keep Patrick Mahomes off the field as much as possible, but it will also kill the clock.

As primarily a "situational" capper, these are the primary reasons why I believe the Super Bowl will produce a lower-scoring UNDER.

Good luck, NP