AAA's *Lions/Patriots* BLOCKBUSTER (62-43 +$8,430 Y-T-D NFL!)
(NFL) Detroit vs. New England,
Point Spread: 8.00 | -127.00 Detroit (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the Detroit Lions

The media and the general betting public are all over the New England Patriots today, but I think that the visitors can keep this one close enough to at the very least sneak in through the back door down the stretch. This is strictly a "situational" play for me. It's make or break for Detroit after last week's 14-6 loss at NFL-best Arizona, the Lions were held to just 262 yards in the setback. New England comes in on a role, it's won two straight over the Broncos and Colts and suffice it to say, I think this sets up as a classic letdown spot after those big victories. The Pats got the job done on the ground last week, but now face a Lions team which has held opponents to just 15.6 points and 290.3 YPG, both league lows; in fact, Detroit's run defense is holding teams to an average of just 68.8 YPG and 3.03 per carry. That means Tom Brady and company will be looking to air it out today, but the Lions pass defense is almost as good: "We're going against a very good football team, but we're not going in this with a mindset like, 'Oh, they're unbeatable, they do everything so amazing,'" Detroit safety James Ihedigbo assessed earlier in the week. "We are the No. 1 defense. We've kind of earned that. Respect is not given in this league. It's earned. We've earned that and it's one of those games where you have to play like it and that's what it's going to boil down to." Note that the Detroit offense also receives a boost today, RB Reggie Bush who missed the Arizona game with an ankle injury is set to return. Note that Detroit is already 2-1 ATS this year as an underdog, while New England is just 10-11 ATS in its last 21 after two or more consecutive SU wins. While I won't go so far as to call for an outright victory, I do think this is too many points to be giving up here, play on the LIONS.

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