AAA's SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH!
(MLB) Texas vs. LA Angels,
Money Line: -148.00 LA Angels (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH on the LA Angels.

For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to starting pitching and handicapping starting pitching often comes down to "recent performance;" in this case Hector Santiago has a major advantage over his counterpart and when the smoke clears at the end of this one, I expect the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. The visitors hand the ball to Yovani Gallardo (7-9, 2.91 ERA) who comes into this contest with zero momentum having lost three straight, most recently getting shelled for a season-high five runs in a season-low four innings vs. the Astros on Sunday; note that Gallardo would give up seven hits and three walks, the fourth straight outing in which he's allowed at least three bases on balls. Gallardo has gotten worse as the season has progressed, but his counterpart today has been trending in the other direction, Santiago (7-4, 2.30 ERA) has gotten better as the season has worn on, most recently he'd give up one run off eight hits over five innings while striking out a season-high ten opponents in a victory over the Red Sox on Monday; and note that Santiago has dominated in this spot all year, 3-1 with a tiny 2.22 ERA in front of the home town crowd and 5-2 with a 2.09 ERA in all "night" games. Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case we feel that Santiago should in fact be a much larger one, indeed making this selection the very definition of "great line value," play on the ANGELS.

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