AAA's 10* Steelers/Broncos BLOCKBUSTER - +$9,511 ALL Picks L7 Days!
(NFL) Pittsburgh vs. Denver,
Point Spread: -7.50 | 103.00 Denver (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Denver Broncos.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Rested and healthy: No need to overanalyze this one, while the health of starting QB Peyton Manning may be a bit in question, there's no doubt that both he and his team come into this one well rested and prepared after the crucial bye-week in the Wildcard round. Pittsburgh barely made it past the Bengals last week and the win cost them No. 1 receiver Antonio Brown because of a concussion. QB Ben Roethlisberger also sustained a shoulder injury.

Revenge factor: Pittsburgh just beat the Broncos 34-27 less than a month ago, there's no question that the home side will be looking to avenge that setback.

Home field advantage and superior defense: The Broncos finished amongst the league leaders in most statistical defensive categories and they'll have a major advantage of playing at home in these blustery conditions.

ATS statistics: Note that Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS this year already after two or more consecutive victories and 3-5 ATS in its last eight off a win over a division rival, while Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last six after two weeks or more of rest.

The bottom line: The stage is set for Manning to return to form and take advantage of this banged up Steelers team, we're expecting perhaps the biggest lop-sided rout of the entire postseason to date as we simply can't see the wounded visitors matching pace down the stretch. Play on the BRONCOS.

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