PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *RED DRAGON!* (Warriors/Cavs!) 402-329 +$44,818 ALL NBA RUN!
(NBA) Golden State vs. Cleveland,
Point Spread: -3.00 | -107.00 Cleveland (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -3.00 | -107.00 Cleveland (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Cleveland Cavaliers.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: This is an obvious one and is what this pick is almost 100% based upon. The last time the Warriors were in Cleveland, they'd leave the city with the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Golden State also beat the Cavs at at home on Christmas day.
Coming back down to Earth: After starting the season 24-0, the Warriors have lost two of their last three.
Momentum: The Cavs come in hot, their only loss in the last three weeks was Thursday's 99-95 loss at San Antonio, Cleveland had won eight straight prior to that and would follow up the setback with a commanding 91-77 victory at Houston to wrap up a 5-1 road trip.
Home court advantage: Cleveland has to be liking its chances today, it plays five of its next six at Quicken Loans Arena, where it's won six straight and is 15-1 overall.
ATS statistics: Note that Golden State is just 5-9 ATS in non-conference games this year, while Cleveland is 4-1 ATS after playing three consecutive road games and 11-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: This is personal. This is their home turf. We expect an all out war, but look for the CAVALIERS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: This is an obvious one and is what this pick is almost 100% based upon. The last time the Warriors were in Cleveland, they'd leave the city with the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Golden State also beat the Cavs at at home on Christmas day.
Coming back down to Earth: After starting the season 24-0, the Warriors have lost two of their last three.
Momentum: The Cavs come in hot, their only loss in the last three weeks was Thursday's 99-95 loss at San Antonio, Cleveland had won eight straight prior to that and would follow up the setback with a commanding 91-77 victory at Houston to wrap up a 5-1 road trip.
Home court advantage: Cleveland has to be liking its chances today, it plays five of its next six at Quicken Loans Arena, where it's won six straight and is 15-1 overall.
ATS statistics: Note that Golden State is just 5-9 ATS in non-conference games this year, while Cleveland is 4-1 ATS after playing three consecutive road games and 11-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: This is personal. This is their home turf. We expect an all out war, but look for the CAVALIERS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
AAA Sports
