AAA's AMAZING *30 STAR* TOTALS REPORT (+$31,000 BIG TICKET 10* NBA RUN TESTED!)
(NBA) Toronto vs. Oklahoma City,
Total: 202.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on the OVER between the Toronto Raptors and the Oklahoma City Thunder.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Toronto has seen the total go OVER the number in 20 of its last 33 off an upset loss as a favorite, while OKC has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six following a non-conference contest.

The bottom line: OKC has surprisingly played to five straight UNDERs, including in eight of its last ten. Toronto has also struggled with offensive consistency, coming into this one having seen the total go UNDER in two straight. We think the value has now swung the other way though, this line is just a little bit low, play the OVER.

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