AAA's EARLY 10* PINSTRIPE BOWL TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER (UP HUGE IN 2016!)
(NCAAF) Pittsburgh vs. Northwestern,
Total: 66.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Northwestern and Pittsburgh.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Northwestern has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 11 non-conference games (including on all three this year) and in eight of its last 12 off a win against a conference rival, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest.

The bottom line: We're expecting each to put an added emphasis on establishing the run game while on offense. This number is just a little bit high, play the UNDER.

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