PREMIUM
AAA's 10* ATS "BLOOD-BATH!" (LOP-SIDED BLOWOUT DETECTED!)
(NBA) Portland vs. Boston,
Point Spread: -8.00 | -105.00 Boston (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -8.00 | -105.00 Boston (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Boston Celtics.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
Portland played and lost in Philadelphia just last night. We had the Blazers in that one and while we don't normally "flip-flop" on a team, we also realize that each contest must be looked at individually. This has just been a bad spot for Portland this year, as it's only 3-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days and a horrible 6-10 ATS in all non-conference contests.
Conversely, this is a spot in which the C's have excelled, going 19-11 ATS this season as the favorite, 2-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more and 14-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: With two whole days off to refocus, we're expecting the home to take full advantage of this opportunity. Lay the points, play on BOSTON.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
Portland played and lost in Philadelphia just last night. We had the Blazers in that one and while we don't normally "flip-flop" on a team, we also realize that each contest must be looked at individually. This has just been a bad spot for Portland this year, as it's only 3-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days and a horrible 6-10 ATS in all non-conference contests.
Conversely, this is a spot in which the C's have excelled, going 19-11 ATS this season as the favorite, 2-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more and 14-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.
The bottom line: With two whole days off to refocus, we're expecting the home to take full advantage of this opportunity. Lay the points, play on BOSTON.
AAA Sports
