PREMIUM
AAA's 5-PLAY BEATDOWN PASS (+$9K CBB YTD, WAS 4-1 LAST SATURDAY!)
(NCAAB) Pacific vs. Pepperdine,
Point Spread: 1.50 | -106.00 Pepperdine (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 1.50 | -106.00 Pepperdine (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on Pepperdine.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Pacific is just 3-7 ATS on the road this year, just 1-8 ATS when playing with one or less days rest and only 5-10 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Pepperdine is already 4-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and 11-6 ATS in its last 17 after scoring 60 points or less.
The bottom line: The Tigers come in off a rare win and we think will have a predictable letdown here. Look for the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Playon PEPPERDINE.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Pacific is just 3-7 ATS on the road this year, just 1-8 ATS when playing with one or less days rest and only 5-10 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Pepperdine is already 4-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent and 11-6 ATS in its last 17 after scoring 60 points or less.
The bottom line: The Tigers come in off a rare win and we think will have a predictable letdown here. Look for the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Playon PEPPERDINE.
AAA Sports
