PREMIUM
AAA's 5-PLAY BEATDOWN PASS (+$9K CBB YTD, WAS 4-1 LAST SATURDAY!)
(NCAAB) Kentucky vs. Florida,
Point Spread: 2.50 | -110.00 Kentucky (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 2.50 | -110.00 Kentucky (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on Kentucky.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Kentucky is already 1-0 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games and 40-31 ATS in its last 71 against teams with winning records, while Florida is just 9-15 ATS in its last 24 off a win against a conference rival and just 7-15 ATS in its last 22 after allowing 60 points or less.
The bottom line: The Wildcats have been floundering of late, having lost two in a row before then gutting out a 90-81 OT win over Georgia last time out. Kentucky though has failed to cover the spread in three straight and in six of its last seven. We think that changes today though as we believe Florida is poised for a letdown here after three straight wins. Play on KENTUCKY.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Kentucky is already 1-0 ATS this year after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games and 40-31 ATS in its last 71 against teams with winning records, while Florida is just 9-15 ATS in its last 24 off a win against a conference rival and just 7-15 ATS in its last 22 after allowing 60 points or less.
The bottom line: The Wildcats have been floundering of late, having lost two in a row before then gutting out a 90-81 OT win over Georgia last time out. Kentucky though has failed to cover the spread in three straight and in six of its last seven. We think that changes today though as we believe Florida is poised for a letdown here after three straight wins. Play on KENTUCKY.
AAA Sports
