AAA's Afternoon 10* SUPER BLOWOUT (+$8K ALL CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) Clemson vs. Duke,
Point Spread: 12.00 | -110.00 Clemson (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Clemson.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Clemson is 6-4 ATS in its last ten after scoring 80 points or more (also 2-1 ATS after allowing 80 points or more), while Duke is just 4-7 ATS against the conference this year, only 10-11 ATS when playing the role of favorite and just 4-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.

The bottom line: We think that Duke gets caught "looking past" its opponent today and while we won't be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up. Play on CLEMSON.

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