AAA's ALL SUPER EARLY (12 NOON EST TIP!) TOTAL SWEEP-IT-UP PASS (+$13K CBB YTD!)
(NCAAB) Virginia vs. North Carolina State,
Total: 131.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the OVER between Virginia and NC State.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Virginia has seen the total go OVER in its only other road game so far this year when the total in the contest was set between 130 and 134.5 and in two of its last three off a loss against a conference rival, while NC State has seen the total go OVER in ten of 13 at hoem this year and in 12 of 21 against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: Each team is gunning for a victory at the end of the year to help boost positioning, in our opinion, this number is indeed a little low. Play the OVER.

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