PREMIUM
SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (+$5,000 ALL NHL YTD!)
(NHL) Tampa Bay vs. Pittsburgh,
Money Line: -173.00 Pittsburgh (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -173.00 Pittsburgh (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Pittsburgh Peguins.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Tampa Bay is just 3-5 (-3.6 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games and just 15-16 (-2.1 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Pittsburgh is 15-3 (+10.8 units) after allowing four gaols or more and 23-12 (+2.4 units) against teams with losing records.
The bottom line: With a more "winnable" game tomorrow night in Buffalo, we think the Lightning get caught "looking ahead." And when taking into account the above trends, all signs do indeed point to the PENGUINS as the savvy call in this one.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Tampa Bay is just 3-5 (-3.6 units) this season after playing three consecutive home games and just 15-16 (-2.1 units) in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Pittsburgh is 15-3 (+10.8 units) after allowing four gaols or more and 23-12 (+2.4 units) against teams with losing records.
The bottom line: With a more "winnable" game tomorrow night in Buffalo, we think the Lightning get caught "looking ahead." And when taking into account the above trends, all signs do indeed point to the PENGUINS as the savvy call in this one.
AAA Sports
