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NBA EAST-COAST EXPRESS (BOUNCE BACK PROFITS ON DECK!)
(NBA) Miami vs. Cleveland,
Total: 215.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 215.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Miami Heat and the Cleveland Cavaliers.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of 15 this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 PPG and in 18 of 30 against clubs with winning records, while Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four when trying to revenge a loss against a team in the second game of a back to back in which it gave up 120 points or more in the setback.
The bottom line: Miami just hammered Cleveland 120-92 on Saturday night, the total sailing well above the posted number. That was of course without any of the Cavs' starters in the line-up. They'll be back in the mix on Monday night though and you can bet that the Cavaliers are going to want to send a message to the Heat. Miami is one of the better defensive clubs can obviously ill afford to get into a track meet and expect to score another upset, so look for the visitors to play their trapping, full court style. The situation and the trends to do both indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of 15 this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 PPG and in 18 of 30 against clubs with winning records, while Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four when trying to revenge a loss against a team in the second game of a back to back in which it gave up 120 points or more in the setback.
The bottom line: Miami just hammered Cleveland 120-92 on Saturday night, the total sailing well above the posted number. That was of course without any of the Cavs' starters in the line-up. They'll be back in the mix on Monday night though and you can bet that the Cavaliers are going to want to send a message to the Heat. Miami is one of the better defensive clubs can obviously ill afford to get into a track meet and expect to score another upset, so look for the visitors to play their trapping, full court style. The situation and the trends to do both indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
