10* AFTERNOON RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE!)
(MLB) Arizona vs. Washington,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -120.00 Washington (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Washington Nationals.

Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we definitely believe that Max Scherzer and the home side should be much bigger ones. In fact, we feel that the talent discrepancy on the mound absolutely justifies in laying the 1.5 runs for the near "pick-em" price.

Braden Shipley: He's been called up to make this single start for the Nats. In Triple-A Reno this season he owns a poor 4.18 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Note that he was particularly bad in this spot last year, going just 3-4 with a 4.81 ERA on the road.

Scherzer: He's 3-2 with a 2.94 ERA. He's coming off an outing to forget in which he allowed five runs off nine this and a walk while striking out seven over six innings in a 7-5 loss to the Mets on Friday. It was by far Scherzer's worst start of the year and despite the rough outing, note that he still owns a tiny 0.98 WHIP and 40:9 K:BB ratio over his 33.1 innings of work.

The bottom line: Scherzer was 20-7 with a 2.96 ERA last season and was particularly tough at home, going 8-3 with a 2.56 ERA. The Nats managed a 2-1 win on Wednesday, but a blowout of epic proportions is in the cards on Thursday. Lay the 1.5 runs, play on WASHINGTON on the RUN-LINE.

AAA Sports