This is a 7* play on the Washington Nationals.

We think the talent discrepancy today, both on the mound and at the plate, absolutely justifies in laying this larger price.

Vince Velasquez: He's 2-3 with a 5.94 ERA. He faced the Nationals last Saturday and was rocked for six runs off seven hits over seven innings in the eventual loss. Note that he owned a poor 5.37 ERA on the road last season.

Max Scherzer: He's 4-2 with a 2.59 ERA. He most recently gave up two runs off four hits while striking out 11 over eight innings in an unfortunate no-decision against Baltimore on Tuesday. Scherzer has now given up just three runs over his last 15 innings to ago along with a 22:4 K:BB ratio in that span.

The bottom line: Scherzer was 8-3 with a 2.56 ERA at home last year. Note that the Phillies are just 5-12 (-4.6 units) on the road this year, while Washington is 21-11 (+5.4 units) against right-handed starters. Play on the NATIONALS.

AAA Sports