PREMIUM
5-GAME AFTERNOON SWEEPER REPORT (OFF 4-1 FRIDAY, NOW 6-1, 86% L7 MLB!)
(MLB) Milwaukee vs. Chi Cubs,
Money Line: 184.00 Milwaukee (Away)
Result: Push
Money Line: 184.00 Milwaukee (Away)
Result: Push
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Brewers.
We like the Brewers to build off yesterday's upset and to take advantage of shaky Jake Arrieta on Sunday afternoon.
Chase Anderson: He's 2-0 with a 3.43 ERA. He gave up four runs off six hits while walking three and striking out five over 5.1 innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Monday. Anderson was just 9-11 with a 4.33 ERA last year, but he did post a respectable 3.38 ERA in all "day" games.
Arrieta: He's 4-3 with a 5.44 ERA. He most recently gave up four runs off seven hits (including two dingers) over six innings in a loss to the Cardinals on Sunday. Arrieta has now posted just one quality start over his last six trips to the mound. Note that he owns a ballooned 6.04 ERA in four day games already this year.
The bottom line: Note that Milwaukee is quietly surging right now, after yesterday's win it's now 11-5 (+7.6 units) in May and 19-13 (+9 units) against right-handed starters. Also note that the Cubs are just 8-8 (-2.1 units) this month and only 14-16 (-9.8 units) against right handed starters. Arrieta is simply overpriced here and MILWAUKEE can smell the blood in the water.
AAA Sports
We like the Brewers to build off yesterday's upset and to take advantage of shaky Jake Arrieta on Sunday afternoon.
Chase Anderson: He's 2-0 with a 3.43 ERA. He gave up four runs off six hits while walking three and striking out five over 5.1 innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Monday. Anderson was just 9-11 with a 4.33 ERA last year, but he did post a respectable 3.38 ERA in all "day" games.
Arrieta: He's 4-3 with a 5.44 ERA. He most recently gave up four runs off seven hits (including two dingers) over six innings in a loss to the Cardinals on Sunday. Arrieta has now posted just one quality start over his last six trips to the mound. Note that he owns a ballooned 6.04 ERA in four day games already this year.
The bottom line: Note that Milwaukee is quietly surging right now, after yesterday's win it's now 11-5 (+7.6 units) in May and 19-13 (+9 units) against right-handed starters. Also note that the Cubs are just 8-8 (-2.1 units) this month and only 14-16 (-9.8 units) against right handed starters. Arrieta is simply overpriced here and MILWAUKEE can smell the blood in the water.
AAA Sports
