PREMIUM
AAA's AFTERNOON PITCHING MISMATCH (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE!)
(MLB) Philadelphia vs. St. Louis,
Money Line: -213.00 St. Louis (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -213.00 St. Louis (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 5* PITCHING MISMATCH on the St. Louis Cardinals.
Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we think that Carlos Martinez and the Cardinals could/should easily be much bigger ones.
Nick Pivetta: He's 1-2 with a 5.18 ERA. Pivetta allowed three runs off six hits and three walks over five innings in a victory over the Braves on Monday. This was Pivetta's first start in the majors since mid-May. To go along with his sub-par 5.18 ERA, he alos sports an uninspiring 25:12 K:BB through 24.1 innings.
Martinez: He's 4-5 with a 3.29 ERA. Martinez allowed four runs off four hits and two walks across 6.1 innings in his team's loss to Cincinnati on Monday. He'd go on to strike out eight. The hard-throwing right-hander has now struck out 26 over his last 21.2 innings of work. The four runs given up ended a string of seven straight starts in which he's allowed no more than three earned runs. Note that he's 3-1 with a tiny 2.19 ERA in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: Note that Philadelphia is an atrocious 3-12 (-7.4 units) as a road dog of +125 to +175, while St. Louis is 4-1 (+2.2 units) this year as a home fav in the -175 to -250 range. We look for the CARDINALS to take full advantage of this favorable matchup, lay the price with confidence.
AAA Sports
Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we think that Carlos Martinez and the Cardinals could/should easily be much bigger ones.
Nick Pivetta: He's 1-2 with a 5.18 ERA. Pivetta allowed three runs off six hits and three walks over five innings in a victory over the Braves on Monday. This was Pivetta's first start in the majors since mid-May. To go along with his sub-par 5.18 ERA, he alos sports an uninspiring 25:12 K:BB through 24.1 innings.
Martinez: He's 4-5 with a 3.29 ERA. Martinez allowed four runs off four hits and two walks across 6.1 innings in his team's loss to Cincinnati on Monday. He'd go on to strike out eight. The hard-throwing right-hander has now struck out 26 over his last 21.2 innings of work. The four runs given up ended a string of seven straight starts in which he's allowed no more than three earned runs. Note that he's 3-1 with a tiny 2.19 ERA in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: Note that Philadelphia is an atrocious 3-12 (-7.4 units) as a road dog of +125 to +175, while St. Louis is 4-1 (+2.2 units) this year as a home fav in the -175 to -250 range. We look for the CARDINALS to take full advantage of this favorable matchup, lay the price with confidence.
AAA Sports
