AAA's AFTERNOON SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCH (JUST $25!)
(MLB) Colorado vs. Chi Cubs,
Money Line: -175.00 Chi Cubs (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PITCHING MISMATCh on the Chicago Cubs.

After a five-game win streak, the Cubs have lost four in a row, including three straight to the Rockies. Suffice it to say, we're expecting the defending champs to battle hard and to find a way to get the job done in the finale of this four-game set.

Antonio Senzatela: He's 8-2 with a 3.56 ERA. Senzatela most recently gave up three runs off six hits and a walk over six innings in an 11-3 win over the Indians on Tuesday. He's been better at Coors Field oddly enough than on the road, but his peripherals suggest some immediate regression, as he owns a subpar .255 BAPIP and 5.9 K/9.

Jake Arrieta: He's 6-4 with a 4.46 ERA. Arrieta most recently gave up two runs off two hits and three walks over six innings in a win over Miami on Tuesday, also going on to strike-out five. Arrieta isn't the pitcher he was two years ago, but his peripherals this season suggest that he's been the victim of some bad luck, as his FIP is a run lower (3.57) than his ERA, while he's also posted a career-best 10.0 K/9 as well.

The bottom line: We think the Rockies get caught looking ahead and the desperate home side finds a way to get the job done with the superior starter on the mound. Lay the price with confidence, play on the CUBS.

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