AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT - 8-2 (80%) L10 MLB & 29-15 +$6,354 ALL MLB IN JUNE!
(MLB) San Diego vs. Chi Cubs,
Money Line: -220.00 Chi Cubs (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 5* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Chicago Cubs.

Clayton Richard has been better than expected this season for the Padres, while Jon Lester has so far failed to live up to his incredible 2016 pace. Regardless of these facts, we think that Lester could/should easily be a much bigger fav in this spot, indeed swinging the value to the home side this evening:

Richard: He's 4-7 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Richard most recently gave up two runs off eight hits over 8.2 innings in a 6-2 victory over Cincinnati on Tuesday. As stated off the top, Richard has for the most part been pretty solid this year, although he does own an uninspiring 1-4, 4.39 road record/ERA.

Lester: He's 3-4 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Lester enters off a gem, striking out ten over seven innings while giving up one run off five hits and one walk in a 14-3 rout of the Mets. Note that Lester has been "lights out" at home this year as well, going 3-1 with a highly respectable 2.65 ERA.

The bottom line: San Diego is 7-11 (-2.8 units) against lefties this year, while Chicago is 9-6 (+1.6 units) against southpaws. This is a steep price, but we think Lester will easily outduel his inconsistent counterpart and continue his string of strong perfomances in front of the home town crowd. The CUBS take advantage and win this one with relative ease.

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