AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(MLB) Washington vs. Miami,
Total: 9.50 | -108.00 Under
Result: Win
1* Free Play OVER Nationals/Marlins.

Tanner Roark has been struggling of late, while Justin Nicolino is making his first start back after a short stint on the 10-day DL. We're expecting these starters to get chased early and we look for this one to eclipse the posted number as it comes down the stretch:

Roark: He's 6-4 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Roark gave up seven runs off nine hits and two walks over five innings in a 13-2 loss to ATL on Wednesday, also striking out five. Over his last three starts Roark has now been rocked for 16 runs off 25 hits (including four dingers).

Nicolino: He's 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Nicolino made a successful re-hab start in Triple-A after being placed on the DL with a finger contusion. Nicolino though owns a career 4.57 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and a poor 9.8 percent strikeout rate in 1631.1 innings in the big leagues.

The bottom line: Note that Washington has seen the total go OVER in the number in 11 of 17 road games this year when the money line is set between +125 to -125, while Miami has seen the total go OVER in 12 of 18 at home with a money line in the same range. Consider the OVER.

AAA Sports