PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SUNDAY AFTERNOON *BLOOD-BATH!* (HUGE 34-16 +$11,178 ALL PICKS L17 DAYS!)
(MLB) Miami vs. NY Mets,
Money Line: -158.00 NY Mets (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -158.00 NY Mets (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the New York Mets.
We think that the home side will build off yestreday's convincing 8-1 win yesterday. Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we absolutely believe the Jacob DeGrom could/should easily be a much larger one in this particular matchup.
Adam Conley: He's 5-5 with a 5.32 ERA. Conley most recently gave up three runs off six hits and three walks with no K's in a victory over the soft-hitting Giants on Monday. In his previous start Conley had been crushed for five runs off 11 hits and three walks over five innings.
DeGrom: He's 13-6 with a 3.35 ERA. DeGrom gave up five run off nine hits and two walks over 7.1 innings in a loss to the Yanks on Tuesday. Over six previous outings DeGrom had allowed three earned runs or fewer and note that he still owns an elite 53:10 K:BB over his last seven trips to the hill (is 6-3 with a 2.49 ERA at home.)
The bottom line: Note that Miami is just 8-14 (-2.9 units) this year as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range, while New York is 18-12 (+1.2 units) as a home fav in the -125 to -175 range. We love DeGrom to bounce back after his latest dud and we look for Conley's inconsistencies to once again be a major issue for the young hurler. Lay the price, play on the METS.
AAA Sports
We think that the home side will build off yestreday's convincing 8-1 win yesterday. Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we absolutely believe the Jacob DeGrom could/should easily be a much larger one in this particular matchup.
Adam Conley: He's 5-5 with a 5.32 ERA. Conley most recently gave up three runs off six hits and three walks with no K's in a victory over the soft-hitting Giants on Monday. In his previous start Conley had been crushed for five runs off 11 hits and three walks over five innings.
DeGrom: He's 13-6 with a 3.35 ERA. DeGrom gave up five run off nine hits and two walks over 7.1 innings in a loss to the Yanks on Tuesday. Over six previous outings DeGrom had allowed three earned runs or fewer and note that he still owns an elite 53:10 K:BB over his last seven trips to the hill (is 6-3 with a 2.49 ERA at home.)
The bottom line: Note that Miami is just 8-14 (-2.9 units) this year as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range, while New York is 18-12 (+1.2 units) as a home fav in the -125 to -175 range. We love DeGrom to bounce back after his latest dud and we look for Conley's inconsistencies to once again be a major issue for the young hurler. Lay the price, play on the METS.
AAA Sports
