AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (MASSIVE BEATDOWN UNCOVERED!)
(MLB) San Diego vs. St. Louis,
Money Line: -179.00 St. Louis (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 6* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case we absolutely believe that Lance Lynn and the hard-hitting home side could/should easily be much larger ones.

Clayton Richard: He's 6-12 with a 4.84 ERA. Richard comes in off his best start of the year, going a complete game shutout against the Phillies on Wednesday. His last shutout came five years ago. For the most part Richard has been a disappointment this year and we think immediate regression is in store following the "gem" (note that he's just 1-5 with a 4.70 ERA on the road.)

Lynn: He's 10-6 with a 3.05 ERA. Lynn gave up two runs (just one earned) over six innings in a no-decision against the Red Sox on Wednesday. Lynn has now given up two earned runs or fewer in each of his last nine starts and has been particularly effective in this spot all year long, going 5-3 with a 2.62 ERA at home and 6-3 with a 2.63 ERA in all "night" games.

The bottom line: St. Louis is 63-61 overall and 35-27 (+2.1 units) at home. San Diego is 55-69 overall and 22-39 (-5.4 units) on the road. The Cardinals are also 34-26 (+3.1 units) against teams with losing records this year, while the Padres are just 19-37 (-9.2 units) against clubs with winning records. Lay the price with confidence, play on ST. LOUIS.

AAA Sports