PREMIUM
AAA's MONDAY NIGHT ULTRA TOTAL (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE!)
(NFL) Denver vs. Kansas City,
Total: 42.00 | -108.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 42.00 | -108.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* MONDAY NIGHT ULTRA TOTAL on the OVER between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant Over/Under ATS statistics:
As note that Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Kansas City has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two Monday night games.
The bottom line: After a 2-0 start to the year, the Broncos have struggled across the board. Especially on the offensive side of the ball. Last week they were shut out 21-0 by the Chargers, before losing 23-10 to the then winless Giants, which came before their bye-week. And for the Chiefs, after five straight wins they've lost two straight, most recently crushing 31-30 loss to division rival Oakland. With a tough game at Dallas next weekend before their bye, we're expecting Alex Smith and the Chiefs to open up the playbook today. And with Trevor Siemian and company needing to keep pace, we're expecting this one to fly OVER as it comes down the stretch.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant Over/Under ATS statistics:
As note that Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Kansas City has seen the total go OVER the number in its last two Monday night games.
The bottom line: After a 2-0 start to the year, the Broncos have struggled across the board. Especially on the offensive side of the ball. Last week they were shut out 21-0 by the Chargers, before losing 23-10 to the then winless Giants, which came before their bye-week. And for the Chiefs, after five straight wins they've lost two straight, most recently crushing 31-30 loss to division rival Oakland. With a tough game at Dallas next weekend before their bye, we're expecting Alex Smith and the Chiefs to open up the playbook today. And with Trevor Siemian and company needing to keep pace, we're expecting this one to fly OVER as it comes down the stretch.
AAA Sports
