PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH - 18-7 (72%) BIG TICKET "GOM" STREAK!
(NFL) Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans,
Point Spread: 7.00 | -108.00 Tampa Bay (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 7.00 | -108.00 Tampa Bay (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Tampa is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range and interestingly, 6-3 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of November, while New Orleans is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven games played in November and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range.
The bottom line: Tampa opened the year by winning three of four, but has since dropped four straight. Clearly the "panic button" has been pressed by the Bucs at this point. It's been the exact opposite for the Saints, who opened the season with two straight losses, before then rattling off five straight wins. Losing breeds determination, while winning often leads to complacency. Divisional games are always the "toughest" and they almost always "mean more" to the home side, but in this case we feel this one does indeed set up as a classic "trap" for the contented Saints. The Bucs are reeling, but won't be going down without a fight. While we wouldn't be completely shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on TAMPA BAY.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Tampa is 4-2 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range and interestingly, 6-3 ATS in its last nine games played in the month of November, while New Orleans is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven games played in November and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range.
The bottom line: Tampa opened the year by winning three of four, but has since dropped four straight. Clearly the "panic button" has been pressed by the Bucs at this point. It's been the exact opposite for the Saints, who opened the season with two straight losses, before then rattling off five straight wins. Losing breeds determination, while winning often leads to complacency. Divisional games are always the "toughest" and they almost always "mean more" to the home side, but in this case we feel this one does indeed set up as a classic "trap" for the contented Saints. The Bucs are reeling, but won't be going down without a fight. While we wouldn't be completely shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on TAMPA BAY.
AAA Sports
