AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL THUNDER (UNLOAD w/ CONFIDENCE!)
(NCAAF) NIU vs. Toledo,
Total: 57.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL THUNDER on the UNDER between Northern Illinois and Toledo.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Northern Illinois has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range and in eight of its last 13 as an underdog, while Toldedo has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 24 as a favorite and in eight of its last 11 against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: Both teams are bowl eligible, but each has bigger plans moving forward with conference title implications on the line. We're banking on these highly motivated teams to battle tough and for this one to ultimately fall UNDER the number once it's all said and done.

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