PREMIUM
AAA's 10* COAST-TO-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS (OFF WINNING SUNDAY!)
(NBA) Miami vs. Golden State,
Total: 226.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 226.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Miami Heat and the Golden State Warriors.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six after back-to-back ATS covers, while Golden State has seen the total go UNDER the number in 41 of its last 73 non-conference contests.
The bottom line: After losing to Detroit at home, the Warriors have been rolling late, beating three straight Western Conference leading teams. Miami comes in off the big 104-101 upset of the Clippers on Sunday with a much more "winnable" game at Phoenix on Wednesday. This is a letdown spot for sure for the Heat here. Golden State gets to focus on the defensive end tonight, with the run and gun T-Wolves coming to town on Wednesday. All things considered, this number is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six after back-to-back ATS covers, while Golden State has seen the total go UNDER the number in 41 of its last 73 non-conference contests.
The bottom line: After losing to Detroit at home, the Warriors have been rolling late, beating three straight Western Conference leading teams. Miami comes in off the big 104-101 upset of the Clippers on Sunday with a much more "winnable" game at Phoenix on Wednesday. This is a letdown spot for sure for the Heat here. Golden State gets to focus on the defensive end tonight, with the run and gun T-Wolves coming to town on Wednesday. All things considered, this number is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
