PREMIUM
AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL "BIG TIGER!" (THIS IS MASSIVE!)
(NFL) Seattle vs. Arizona,
Total: 41.50 | -103.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 41.50 | -103.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the UNDER between the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Seattle has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven as a road favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range and in eight of its last 14 against the division (including in both such circumstances this year), while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 20 at home (including in two of three this season) and in nine of its last 15 against the division (including in all three this year.)
The bottom line: This is a big game for Seattle, as it comes off a disappointing 17-14 home loss to Washington. With a game at home against Atlanta up next, clearly the Seahawks can not look past their potentially dangerous divisional opponent today. And for the Cards, without Carson Palmer under center, it's only so far they can go with Drew Stanton leading the charge. Arizona will be leaning heavily on RB Adrian Peterson, who had 150 yards rushing in his team's win in San Francisco last week. There's no doubt that this one sets up perfectly for a lower-scoring UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
As note that Seattle has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last seven as a road favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range and in eight of its last 14 against the division (including in both such circumstances this year), while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 20 at home (including in two of three this season) and in nine of its last 15 against the division (including in all three this year.)
The bottom line: This is a big game for Seattle, as it comes off a disappointing 17-14 home loss to Washington. With a game at home against Atlanta up next, clearly the Seahawks can not look past their potentially dangerous divisional opponent today. And for the Cards, without Carson Palmer under center, it's only so far they can go with Drew Stanton leading the charge. Arizona will be leaning heavily on RB Adrian Peterson, who had 150 yards rushing in his team's win in San Francisco last week. There's no doubt that this one sets up perfectly for a lower-scoring UNDER.
AAA Sports
