AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL "ASSASSIN!" (MASSIVE OPPORTUNITY!)
(NCAAF) Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State,
Total: 55.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between Georgia Southern and Appalachian State.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Georgia Southern has seen the total go UNDER the number in 11 of its last 18 when plaing on six or less days rest and in three of its last four "Thursday night" games, while Appalachian State has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last five following a conference contest and in three of its last four Thursday night contests.

The bottom line: Georgia Southern is 0-8 and we don't think even has the motivation left to try and play spoiiler. App State on the other hand is running out of time to become bowl eligibile, so will be looking to punch its ticket today with a convincing victory. We're expecting the home side to control this one whenever possible. This number is indeed a little high, play the UNDER.

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