PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SIGNATURE "RED DRAGON!" (INSANE 12-5/71% ALL NFL L4 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Dallas vs. Atlanta,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -120.00 Atlanta (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -2.50 | -120.00 Atlanta (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Atlanta Falcons.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Dallas is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog and only 9-17 ATS in its last 27 on "field turf," while Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last six against the NFC East and 4-2 ATS in its last six against the conference overall.
The bottom line: Dallas has come out of its bye and posted three straight wins, but looks set up for a letdown here with a look ahead game against division rival Philly at home next weekend. Conversely, the Falcons have lost four of their last five and will clearly be risking life and limb today to try and stay in the playoff race. All things considered, we feel this line could be a little higher, swinging the value to the home side. Play on ATLANTA.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Dallas is just 7-8 ATS in its last 15 as an underdog and only 9-17 ATS in its last 27 on "field turf," while Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last six against the NFC East and 4-2 ATS in its last six against the conference overall.
The bottom line: Dallas has come out of its bye and posted three straight wins, but looks set up for a letdown here with a look ahead game against division rival Philly at home next weekend. Conversely, the Falcons have lost four of their last five and will clearly be risking life and limb today to try and stay in the playoff race. All things considered, we feel this line could be a little higher, swinging the value to the home side. Play on ATLANTA.
AAA Sports
