AAA's BREAK-OUT-THE-BROOMS 3-GAME DESTRUCTION PASS (12-5/71% ALL NFL L4 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Houston vs. LA Rams,
Total: 46.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Houston Texans and the LA Rams.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight games played in the month of November and in five of its last eight non-conference contests, while LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in in five of its last seven after two or more consecutive SU wins and in 11 of its last 15 when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points.

The bottom line: DeShaun Watson is out for the Texans, who now seem resigned to the fact that they're done for the season after back-to-back losses coming out of their bye week. This is a game that Rams "should" win easily and they'll want to leave nothing to chance with tough games at Minnesota, at home to the Saints, at Arizona, at home to Philly and then at Seattle all directly on the horizon. With that killer line-up of teams upcoming, we expect the home side to hold a little back this afternoon and to control the clock while on offense. All things considered, this number is just a little high. Play the UNDER.

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