AAA's BREAK-OUT-THE-BROOMS 3-GAME DESTRUCTION PASS (12-5/71% ALL NFL L4 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) Dallas vs. Atlanta,
Total: 48.50 | -104.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Dallas Cowboys and the Atlanta Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after two or more consecutive SU wins and in 11 of its last 16 as an underdog, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five off a loss against a division rival (just lost to Carolina 20-17 last weekend) and in all three games that it's played this year against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is a very important game for two teams which have for the most part struggled this year. Dallas though is without Ezekiell Elliot this weekend and WR Dez Bryant also remains sidelined. The last thing the Cowboys can do is turn this into a "track meet" with dangerous Falcons' veteran Matt Ryan. ATL will also look to control this one while on offense. This number is a little high. Play the UNDER.

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