PREMIUM
AAA's BREAK-OUT-THE-BROOMS 3-GAME DESTRUCTION PASS (12-5/71% ALL NFL L4 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) New England vs. Denver,
Point Spread: -7.00 | -112.00 New England (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -7.00 | -112.00 New England (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that New England is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 after two or more consecutive SU wins (including 2-1 ATS this season) and 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road fav in the 3.5 to seven points range (including 2-0 ATS this year), while Denver is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after two or more consecutive SU losses (including 0-2 ATS this season) and only 2-3 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range.
The bottom line: The Broncos are in "free fall" right now. New England comes out of its bye week and we have a hard time seeing the Pats looking past their potentially dangerous opponent today. Denver still owns a respectable defense which will be playing with a chip on it shoulder in front of the home town crowd. But that said, we don't think it'll be enough against a Pats team that's getting healthier, which is well rested and focused on finishing the second half strong. We're expecting a rout from start to finish, play on NEW ENGLAND.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that New England is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 after two or more consecutive SU wins (including 2-1 ATS this season) and 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road fav in the 3.5 to seven points range (including 2-0 ATS this year), while Denver is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after two or more consecutive SU losses (including 0-2 ATS this season) and only 2-3 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range.
The bottom line: The Broncos are in "free fall" right now. New England comes out of its bye week and we have a hard time seeing the Pats looking past their potentially dangerous opponent today. Denver still owns a respectable defense which will be playing with a chip on it shoulder in front of the home town crowd. But that said, we don't think it'll be enough against a Pats team that's getting healthier, which is well rested and focused on finishing the second half strong. We're expecting a rout from start to finish, play on NEW ENGLAND.
AAA Sports
