AAA's 10* WED NIGHT MAC ULTIMATE TOTAL (MASSIVE RUN CONTINUES!)
(NCAAF) Toledo vs. Bowling Green,
Total: 66.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the UNDER between Toledo and Bowling Green.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Toledo has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last nine as a road favorite, while Bowling Green has seen the total go UNDER the posted number in three of its last four home games when the total in the contest is set between 63.5 and 70 points.

The bottom line: Bowling Green has nothing to play for. Not even the role of spoiler this weekend for motivation. Toledo on the other hand will be vying for the Conference title in a few weeks and won't want to leave anythig to chance here. We look for the Rockets to "control" this game while on offense and we look for this total to indeed fall UNDER this sky-high number once it's all said and done.

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