AAA's 10* TOP SATURDAY CFB TOTAL (UNLOAD w/ SUPREME CONFIDENCE!)
(NCAAF) NC State vs. Wake Forest,
Total: 63.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between NC State and Wake Forest.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that NC State has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of six against conference opponents already this year and in three of four as an underdog, while Wake Forest has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last when playing against a team with a winning record.

The bottom line: Both teams are bowl eligible. At 7-3, NC State would need to win its next two games, along with Clemson (9-1) dropping its final two, to earn the Atalantic crown of the ACC. The Tigers play the Citadel this week and then against South Carolina to close the campaign, so there's no way Clemson drops both, let alone either. Wake Forest is 6-4, sitting a game behind the Wolfpack, but after posting their sixth win of the season in last week's 64-63 win at Syracuse last Saturday, there's no question that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Demon Deacons. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high. Play the UNDER.

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