AAA's 10* VERY EARLY CFB "SUPER ASSASSIN!" (100% FOOTBALL SAT/SUN/MON LAST WEEK!)
(NCAAF) UCONN vs. Cincinnati,
Point Spread: -5.50 | -107.00 Cincinnati (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Cincinnati.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that UConn is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive SU losses and just 4-5 ATS this year as an underdog, while Cincinnati is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU wins.

The bottom line: Both teams have been terrible this year and neither will be playing in a bowl. The Bearcats play with revenge though after falling to the Huskies 20-9 last year. The revenge factor, combined with home field advantage turns out to be the difference. Play on CINCINNATI.

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