AAA's VERY EARLY SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (100% w/ FOOTBALL LAST WEEKEND!)
(NCAAF) Indiana vs. Purdue,
Point Spread: 3.00 | -115.00 Indiana (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Indiana.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last six off a win against a conference rival, while Purdue is just 1-2 ATS this year against teams with losing records and just 1-3 ATS in its last four off a win against a conference rival.

The bottom line: Both teams are sitting at five wins apiece and need one more to become eligible. Clearly these teams are very evenly matched, but we think the pressure gets to the home side today. The Boilermakers are likely a pretty popular pick, but we're going the other way and think the value lies with hungry HOOSIERS. Play on Indiana.

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