AAA's 10* MONDAY NIGHT "ASSASSIN!" (SPECIAL JUST $25!)
(NFL) Houston vs. Baltimore,
Point Spread: -7.00 | -115.00 Baltimore (Home)
Result: Push
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Baltimore Ravens.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Houston is just 1-2 ATS in its last three Monday Night games and only 3-4 ATS this season in all games it's played on a grass field, while Baltimore is 2-1 ATS in its last three MNF contests and 4-3 ATS this year in all games played on grass.

The bottom line: Houston came out of its bye week and lost three straight, but somehow managed the 31-21 home win over Arizona last weekend. With a game at division rival Tennessee next Sunday, we think the visitors have a classic letdown here. Baltimore could have easily suffered a letdown itself in its first game back from its bye week, but instead it dominated in last week's 23-0 victory at Green Bay. All signs point to another dominant effort from the Ravens defense. Lay the points, play on BALTIMORE.

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