AAA's 10* TOTAL "ASSASSIN!" (<<< THIS IS THE BIG ONE!)
(NBA) Chicago vs. Denver,
Total: 208.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the OVER between the Chicago Bulls and the Denver Nuggets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Chicago has already seen the total go OVER the number in six of 11 road games this year and in four of six against teams with winning records, while Denver has seen the total go OVER the number in five of eight this season against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest.

The bottom line: The struggling Bulls will be desperate, they've lost six straight, most recently a 104-99 setback to the Suns on Tuesday. The Nuggets have been trading wins with losses of late, but they come in off a humbling 106-77 loss to the Jazz on the road Tuesday. These are two teams looking to push the pace and get back into the win column and when the final whistle sounds, we expect this total to go OVER the posted number.

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