PREMIUM
CHAMPIONSHIP SATURDAY BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION PASS (SEC/SUN BELT/MOUNTAIN WEST!)
(NCAAF) Troy vs. Arkansas State,
Point Spread: 1.00 | -106.00 Arkansas State (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 1.00 | -106.00 Arkansas State (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on Arkansas State.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Troy is just 2-3 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival (a 62-9 win over Texas State last weekend) and only 3-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite, while Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival (a 67-50 win over Louisiana Monroe) and 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: Arkansas State smashed Troy 35-3 last year. Troy put up 650 yards of offense last week. The Red Wolves up 800. As good as the Trojans are offensively, we have a hard time seeing them keeping up with ARKANSAS STATE at the end of the day.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Troy is just 2-3 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival (a 62-9 win over Texas State last weekend) and only 3-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite, while Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival (a 67-50 win over Louisiana Monroe) and 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: Arkansas State smashed Troy 35-3 last year. Troy put up 650 yards of offense last week. The Red Wolves up 800. As good as the Trojans are offensively, we have a hard time seeing them keeping up with ARKANSAS STATE at the end of the day.
AAA Sports
