PREMIUM
CHAMPIONSHIP SATURDAY BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION PASS (SEC/SUN BELT/MOUNTAIN WEST!)
(NCAAF) Fresno State vs. Boise State,
Point Spread: 9.50 | -110.00 Fresno State (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 9.50 | -110.00 Fresno State (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on Fresno State.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Fresno State is 6-1 ATS against the conference this year, 5-0 ATS on the road, 5-0 ATS as an underdog and 4-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while Boise State is just 2-3 ATS this year at home and only 2-3 ATS against teams with winning records (just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 against schools with winning records.)
The bottom line: This is a home game for Boise State, but the Bulldogs just smashed the Broncos 28-17 last week as a 6.5 point underdog. While we expect Boise State to put up a much tougher fight this evening, we still feel this is way too many points to be giving up to this red hot Fresno State side. Grab as many points as you can, play on the BULLDOGS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that Fresno State is 6-1 ATS against the conference this year, 5-0 ATS on the road, 5-0 ATS as an underdog and 4-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while Boise State is just 2-3 ATS this year at home and only 2-3 ATS against teams with winning records (just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 against schools with winning records.)
The bottom line: This is a home game for Boise State, but the Bulldogs just smashed the Broncos 28-17 last week as a 6.5 point underdog. While we expect Boise State to put up a much tougher fight this evening, we still feel this is way too many points to be giving up to this red hot Fresno State side. Grab as many points as you can, play on the BULLDOGS.
AAA Sports
