PREMIUM
AAA's VERY EARLY 10* AFC "ASSASSIN!" (PLAYING w/ HOUSE MONEY!)
(NFL) New England vs. Buffalo,
Point Spread: 9.00 | -105.00 Buffalo (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 9.00 | -105.00 Buffalo (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Buffalo Bills.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note the New England is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a road favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Buffalo is already 3-1 ATS at home and 2-1 ATS against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: The Bills went back to Tyrod Taylor last week and the result was perhaps a season saving 16-10 victroy over Kansas City. But now Buffalo once again finds itself with its back against the wall and clearly it can't take anything for granted at this point. We think New England wins this one, but with tough upcoming games at Miami and then Pittsburgh, we believe the defending champs get caught "looking ahead" and leave the back door open wide just enough for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the BILLS.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note the New England is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven as a road favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range, while Buffalo is already 3-1 ATS at home and 2-1 ATS against teams with winning records.
The bottom line: The Bills went back to Tyrod Taylor last week and the result was perhaps a season saving 16-10 victroy over Kansas City. But now Buffalo once again finds itself with its back against the wall and clearly it can't take anything for granted at this point. We think New England wins this one, but with tough upcoming games at Miami and then Pittsburgh, we believe the defending champs get caught "looking ahead" and leave the back door open wide just enough for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the BILLS.
AAA Sports
