GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): AAA's 10* THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL OF WEEK!
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Atlanta,
Total: 52.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last two times that it's played on a "Thursday" night, while ATL has seen the total go UNDER in nine of its last 16 as an underdog and in five of six already this season against teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is a very important game for the Falcons, as a loss would almost assuredly see them fall out of playoff contention in the competitive NFC South. As explosive as Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones are, the last thing Atlanta can do is turn this one into a "track meet" with Drew Brees and company and expect to come out on the winning side. With the home side looking to "control" the tempo of this one while on offense and when taking into account the short week and above trends, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

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