PREMIUM
GAME OF MONTH (NFL): AAA's 100% IN DECEMBER NFL GAME OF THE MONTH!
(NFL) New England vs. Miami,
Total: 47.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 47.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of six on the road already this year and in both games it's played in this season off a win against a division rival (23-3 stomping of the Bills), while Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four as an underdog of ten points or more.
The bottom line: Miami kept its hopes alive with a 35-9 win over the Broncos. Denver has no real starting QB and its defense is a complete mess though. New England just shut down a much more talented Bills team on the road and we're fully expecting a similar effort here as well. The Pats are without Rob Gronkowski, which does indeed put added emphasis onto the ground game for New England. When you add it all up, this total is a little high. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relative O/U ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of six on the road already this year and in both games it's played in this season off a win against a division rival (23-3 stomping of the Bills), while Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four as an underdog of ten points or more.
The bottom line: Miami kept its hopes alive with a 35-9 win over the Broncos. Denver has no real starting QB and its defense is a complete mess though. New England just shut down a much more talented Bills team on the road and we're fully expecting a similar effort here as well. The Pats are without Rob Gronkowski, which does indeed put added emphasis onto the ground game for New England. When you add it all up, this total is a little high. Play the UNDER.
AAA Sports
