PREMIUM
AAA's 10* CBB SHOCKER GAME OF THE MONTH (RED HOT BIG TICKET RUNS!)
(NCAAB) Western Kentucky vs. Wisconsin,
Point Spread: 7.50 | -106.00 Western Kentucky (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 7.50 | -106.00 Western Kentucky (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* SHOCKER GAME OF THE MONTH on Western Kentucky.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that WKU is already 5-1 ATS this year after a non-conference game, 3-0 ATS as an underdog and 2-0 ATS after scoring 80 points or more (the Hilltoppers had their four-game win streak snapped in an 89-84 setback at Ohio last time out), while Wisconsin is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing 80 points or more and just 2-7 ATS this year against teams with winning records (the Badgers have lost four of five, most recently an 82-63 setback to Marquette.)
The bottom line: WKU can put points on the board and we think it has the fire-power to match pace with the desperate Badgers down the stretch. While we're not calling for an outright upset, we do definitely feel that this is a few too many points to be giving up. Play on WESTERN KENTUCKY.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense:
As note that WKU is already 5-1 ATS this year after a non-conference game, 3-0 ATS as an underdog and 2-0 ATS after scoring 80 points or more (the Hilltoppers had their four-game win streak snapped in an 89-84 setback at Ohio last time out), while Wisconsin is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing 80 points or more and just 2-7 ATS this year against teams with winning records (the Badgers have lost four of five, most recently an 82-63 setback to Marquette.)
The bottom line: WKU can put points on the board and we think it has the fire-power to match pace with the desperate Badgers down the stretch. While we're not calling for an outright upset, we do definitely feel that this is a few too many points to be giving up. Play on WESTERN KENTUCKY.
AAA Sports
